Crypto Fear Index Hits 11: What Happens if Bitcoin Loses $66K Next?

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The crypto market slipped 1.1% over the past 24 hours, dropping to a total cap of $2.3 trillion. Bitcoin led the decline, and with its dominance sitting at 58.1%, the rest of the market followed.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is back at 11, its lowest reading since February 6. Blockchain advisor and investor Anddy Lian says the $66,000 level is where things get decided.

Bitcoin Falls While Stocks Rally and Gold Diverges

What makes this drop unusual is what’s happening around it. The Nasdaq gained 0.78% on Wednesday, boosted by NVIDIA’s 1.6% rise after Meta announced a long-term AI data centre partnership. In Asia, the Nikkei advanced 0.8% and South Korea’s Kospi surged 3% to a record high.

Crypto moved in the opposite direction.

Lian pointed to a -66% correlation between Bitcoin and Gold, meaning capital isn’t rotating between the two. It’s leaving risk assets altogether.

Also Read: Willy Woo: Bitcoin vs Gold 12-Year Trend Broken, Quantum Risk to Blame

Altcoins are getting hit even harder. Cyber token dropped 21.1% and Optimism fell 11.9%, with leveraged positions being unwound fast in thin liquidity.

Fed Minutes Add More Pressure

Minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting showed officials are in no hurry to cut interest rates. Some even suggested potential hikes if inflation stays above target. Traders currently price in a 50% chance of a rate cut by June.

Lian noted that higher-for-longer rates raise the cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin while tightening the flow of speculative capital into crypto.

What Happens if Bitcoin Loses $66K?

According to Lian, $66,000 is the line to watch. A break below could open the door to a test of the yearly low at a market cap of $2.17 trillion.

A reclaim of $68,000 would signal that buyers are stepping in and could spark a short-term recovery across altcoins.

Two Catalysts That Could Shift Sentiment

Lian flagged two things that could break the current stalemate. First, daily spot Bitcoin ETF flow data. Persistent outflows reinforce the risk-off tone, but a return to net inflows could stabilize the market quickly.

Second, progress on the Clarity Act. Clear regulatory rules could unlock capital that has been sitting on the sidelines.

For now, Bitcoin trades at $66,519 with a market cap near $1.33 trillion. Fear is running the show. The question is whether the catalysts show up before the support breaks.